Mira

Equities & prediction markets

A clearer view of complex markets.

Market data, quantitative research and AI-assisted analysis. Mira brings them together to examine how markets behave and where assumptions break.

Explore our research
Research
Equity marketsPrice, volume & liquidity
Prediction marketsEvents & probabilities
Model evaluationEvidence & uncertainty
Connected questions. Reproducible research.

Different markets.
One research discipline.

We develop analytical tools and research workflows for understanding price formation, event probabilities and the limits of predictive models.

Equity analytics

Studying price, volume, liquidity and market structure across the trading day. Organizing financial information into context that can be examined and compared.

Stocks & market data

Prediction market research

Examining event definitions, implied probabilities, order books and settlement conditions, with particular interest in short-horizon markets.

Events & probabilities

Applied AI research

Exploring how language models can help organize information and support analysis. Comparing their output with statistical methods and reproducible baselines.

Models & evaluation

Our approach

Keep the evidence
close to the question.

A useful analysis makes its data, assumptions and uncertainty visible. Our research separates an interesting hypothesis from a result that survives realistic evaluation.

Start with the data

Understand the source, timing and coverage before interpreting a signal.

Test the assumptions

Use chronological comparisons, simple baselines and realistic execution costs.

Make uncertainty visible

Separate research findings, model estimates and observed outcomes.

About Mira

Mira is an independently funded software and research project focused on the stock market and prediction markets.

We combine market-data engineering, quantitative research and AI-assisted analysis to make complex market information easier to examine. Our focus is on building clear analytical tools and evaluating ideas with care.

This website introduces the project. It does not provide trade execution or personalized investment advice.