Start with the data
Understand the source, timing and coverage before interpreting a signal.
Equities & prediction markets
Market data, quantitative research and AI-assisted analysis. Mira brings them together to examine how markets behave and where assumptions break.
Explore our researchWe develop analytical tools and research workflows for understanding price formation, event probabilities and the limits of predictive models.
Studying price, volume, liquidity and market structure across the trading day. Organizing financial information into context that can be examined and compared.
Stocks & market dataExamining event definitions, implied probabilities, order books and settlement conditions, with particular interest in short-horizon markets.
Events & probabilitiesExploring how language models can help organize information and support analysis. Comparing their output with statistical methods and reproducible baselines.
Models & evaluationOur approach
A useful analysis makes its data, assumptions and uncertainty visible. Our research separates an interesting hypothesis from a result that survives realistic evaluation.
Understand the source, timing and coverage before interpreting a signal.
Use chronological comparisons, simple baselines and realistic execution costs.
Separate research findings, model estimates and observed outcomes.
Mira is an independently funded software and research project focused on the stock market and prediction markets.
We combine market-data engineering, quantitative research and AI-assisted analysis to make complex market information easier to examine. Our focus is on building clear analytical tools and evaluating ideas with care.
This website introduces the project. It does not provide trade execution or personalized investment advice.